Aleksian, AshotIdRef and Villeneuve, StéphaneIdRefORCIDORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3213-1905 (2026) Freidlin-Wentzell type exit-time estimates for time-inhomogeneous diffusions and their applications. Stochastic Processes and their Applications. (In Press)

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Abstract

This paper investigates the exit-time problem for time-inhomogeneous diffusion processes. The focus is on the small-noise behavior of the exit time from a bounded positively invariant domain. We demonstrate that, when the drift and diffusion terms are uniformly close to some time-independent functions, the exit time grows exponentially both in probability and in $L_1$ as a parameter that controls the noise tends to zero. We also characterize the exit position of the time-inhomogeneous process. Additionally, we investigate the impact of relaxing the uniform closeness condition on the exit-time behavior. As an application, we extend these results to the McKean-Vlasov process. Our findings improve upon existing results in the literature for the exit-time problem for this class of processes.

Item Type: Article
Language: English
Date: 2026
Refereed: Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords: Freidlin-Wentzell theory, time-inhomogeneous diffusion, McKean-Vlasov process, exit time
Subjects: B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse)
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 11 Mar 2026 09:46
Last Modified: 11 Mar 2026 09:46
OAI Identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:131524
URI: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/52638

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