Méango, Romuald and Poinas, François (2023) The (Option-)Value of Overstaying. TSE Working Paper, n. 23-1478, Toulouse

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Abstract

The paper is structured around three main contributions. First, it takes advan-tage of a unique survey on Afghan asylum seekers in Germany to provide novel descriptive insights into asylum seekers’ beliefs about their outcomes and the as-sociated intention to overstay. Second, it estimates asylum seekers’ perceived ex ante returns on overstaying, and option values of regularisation, deportation, and experimentation. Third, it assesses and rejects the cost-effectiveness argument for assisted voluntary return policies. Instead, it estimates a sizeable willingness-to-pay of asylum seekers for investments that would guarantee their regularisation.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Language: English
Date: October 2023
Place of Publication: Toulouse
Uncontrolled Keywords: Subjective expectations, Intention to overstay, Asylum seekers, Germany, Afghanistan
JEL Classification: C20 - General
D84 - Expectations; Speculations
F22 - International Migration
J15 - Economics of Minorities and Races; Non-labor Discrimination
J18 - Public Policy
J61 - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
O15 - Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
Subjects: B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse)
Institution: Université Toulouse Capitole
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 10 Oct 2023 09:51
Last Modified: 10 Oct 2023 09:51
OAI Identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:128601
URI: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/48304
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