Luong, Tuan Anh, Nguyen, Manh-Hung
, Khuong Truong, N.T. and Le, Kien
(2022)
Rainfall variability and internal migration: the importance of agriculture linkage and gender inequality.
TSE Working Paper, n. 22-1373
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Abstract
This paper investigates the extent to which exposure to climate volatility can in-fluence individual migration decisions in Vietnam, based on the historical rainfall data from 70 weather stations in Vietnam and the Vietnam Access to Resources House-hold Survey. Utilizing the exogenous variation in the rainfall deviation from the local norms within an individual fixed-effects framework, we uncover the negative associa-tion between rainfall and the probability of individual migration. Individual migration probability drops by 7.5 percentage points when the amount of rainfall relative to the long-run local average doubles. This reduction could potentially be driven by individ-uals who work in the agricultural sector and are less likely to migrate as more rainfall could increase their agricultural incomes. Furthermore, our heterogeneity analyses sug-gest that rainfall shocks could perpetuate gender inequality in Vietnam since women cannot cope with climatic shocks through migration. Policy-makers could shift their focus on flood control and water management in affected areas, where people’s liveli-hoods depend on agriculture, to efficiently address issues related to climate-induced internal migration.
Item Type: | Monograph (Working Paper) |
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Language: | English |
Date: | October 2022 |
JEL Classification: | O15 - Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration Q26 - Recreational Aspects of Natural Resources Q54 - Climate; Natural Disasters |
Subjects: | B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE |
Divisions: | TSE-R (Toulouse) |
Site: | UT1 |
Date Deposited: | 12 Oct 2022 08:07 |
Last Modified: | 07 Jun 2024 08:19 |
OAI Identifier: | oai:tse-fr.eu:127429 |
URI: | https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/46354 |