Bobba, Matteo and Frisancho, Veronica (2020) Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City. Journal of Econometrics, vol.231 (n°1).

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Identification Number : 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.06.009


A growing body of evidence suggests that people exhibit large biases when processing information about themselves, but less is known about the underlying inference process. This paper studies belief updating patterns regarding academic ability in a large sample of students transitioning from middle to highschool in Mexico City. The analysis takes advantage of rich and longitudinal data on subjective beliefs together with randomized feedback about individual perfor-mance on an achievement test. On average, the performance feedback reduces the relative role of priors on posteriors and shifts substantial probability masstoward the signal. Further evidence reveals that males and high-socioeconomic status students tend to process new information on their own ability more effectively.

Item Type: Article
Language: English
Date: 9 June 2020
Refereed: Yes
Place of Publication: Amsterdam
Additional Information: .
Uncontrolled Keywords: Information, Subjective expectations, Academic ability, Bayesianupdating, Overconfidence, Secondary education
JEL Classification: C93 - Field Experiments
D80 - General
D83 - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief
D84 - Expectations; Speculations
I23 - Higher Education Research Institutions
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse)
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 05 Jun 2020 07:49
Last Modified: 13 Sep 2022 13:27
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