Le Breton, Michel, Lepelley, Dominique and Smaoui, Hatem (2012) The Probability of Casting a Decisive Vote: From IC to IAC trhough Ehrhart's Polynomials and Strong Mixing. TSE Working Paper, n. 12-313, Toulouse

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The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the probability of casting a decisive vote for a class or random electorate models encompassing the celebrated IC and IAC models. The emphasis is on the impact of correlation across votes on the order of magnitude of this event. Our proof techniques use arguments from probability theory on one hand and the geometry of convex polytopes on the other hand.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Language: English
Date: June 2012
Place of Publication: Toulouse
Uncontrolled Keywords: Elections, Ehrhart Polynomials, Power Measurement, Voting
JEL Classification: D71 - Social Choice; Clubs; Committees; Associations
D72 - Economic Models of Political Processes - Rent-Seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse)
Institution: Université Toulouse 1 Capitole
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 09 Jul 2014 17:26
Last Modified: 02 Apr 2021 15:47
OAI Identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:25866
URI: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/15307
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