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Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City

Bobba, Matteo and Frisancho, Veronica (2020) Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City. TSE Working Paper, n. 20-1070, Toulouse

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A growing body of evidence suggests that people exhibit large biases when processing information about themselves, but less is known about the underlying inference process. This paper studies belief updating patterns regarding academic ability in a large sample of students transitioning from middle to high school in Mexico City. The analysis takes advantage of rich and longitudinal data on subjective beliefs together with randomized feedback about individual performance on an achievement test. On average, the erformance feedback reduces the relative role of priors on posteriors and shifts substantial probability mass toward the signal. Further evidence reveals that males and high-socioeconomic status students tend to process new information on their own ability more effectively.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Language: English
Date: January 2020
Place of Publication: Toulouse
Uncontrolled Keywords: Information, Subjective expectations, Academic ability, Bayesian updating, Over confidence, Secondary education.
JEL Classification: C93 - Field Experiments
D80 - General
D83 - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief
D84 - Expectations; Speculations
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse)
Institution: Université Toulouse 1 Capitole
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 03 Feb 2020 15:11
Last Modified: 05 Jun 2020 08:04
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