Fève, Patrick, Matheron, Julien and Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume (2013) A Pitfall with Estimated DSGE-Based Government Spending Multipliers. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 5 (4). pp. 141-178.

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Identification Number : 10.1257/mac.5.4.141

Abstract

This paper examines issues related to the estimation of the government spending multiplier (GSM) in a DSGE context. We stress a source of bias in the GSM arising from the combination of endogenous government expenditures and Edgeworth complementarity between private consumption and government expenditures. Due to cross-equation restrictions, omitting the endogenous component of government policy at the estimation stage would lead an econometrician to underestimate the degree of Edgeworth complementarity and, consequently, the long-run GSM. An estimated version of our model with US postwar data shows that this bias matters quantitatively. The results are robust to a number of perturbations.

Item Type: Article
Language: English
Date: October 2013
Refereed: Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords: Government spending rules, DSGE models, Edgeworth complementarity/substitutability, Multiplier
JEL Classification: E13 - Neoclassical
E23 - Production
E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
E62 - Fiscal Policy; Public Expenditures, Investment, and Finance; Taxation
H50 - General
Subjects: B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse)
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 09 Jul 2014 17:32
Last Modified: 02 Apr 2021 15:47
OAI Identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:26636
URI: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/15472

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