Biais, Bruno, Rochet, Jean-Charles and Woolley, Paul (2013) The dynamics of innovation and risk. TSE Working Paper, n. 13-448

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Abstract

We study the dynamics of an innovative industry when agents learn about the likelihood of negative shocks. Managers can exert risk-prevention effort to mitigate the consequences of shocks. If no shock occurs, confidence improves, attracting managers to the innovative sector. But, when condence becomes high, inefficient managers exerting low risk-prevention effort also enter. This stimulates growth, while reducing risk-prevention. The longer the boom, the larger the losses if a shock occurs. While these dynamics arise in the first-best, asymmetric information generates excessive entry of inefficient managers, earning informational rents, inflating the innovative sector and increasing its vulnerability.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Language: English
Date: October 2013
Subjects: B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse)
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 09 Jul 2014 17:40
Last Modified: 02 Apr 2021 15:48
OAI Identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:27746
URI: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/15775

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