TY - RPRT CY - Toulouse ID - publications50585 UR - http://tse-fr.eu/pub/130403 A1 - Gelastopoulos, Alexandros A1 - Analytis, Pantelis A1 - Le Mens, Gael A1 - Van De Rijt, Arnout Y1 - 2024/07/22/ N2 - People are influenced by the choices of others, a phenomenon observed across contexts in the social and behavioral sciences. Social influence can lock in an initial popularity advantage of an option over a higher quality alternative. Yet several experiments designed to enable social influence have found that social systems self-correct rather than lock-in. Here we identify a behavioral phenomenon that makes inferior lock-in possible, which we call the ‘marginal majority effect’: A discontinuous increase in the choice probability of an option as its popularity exceeds that of a competing option. We demonstrate the existence of marginal majority effects in several recent experiments and show that lock-in always occurs when the effect is large enough to offset the quality effect on choice, but rarely otherwise. Our results reconcile conflicting past empirical evidence and connect a behavioral phenomenon to the possibility of social lock-in. PB - arXiv T3 - arXiv KW - social influence KW - self-reinforcing process KW - self-correcting process KW - marginal majority KW - lock-in M1 - working_paper TI - The marginal majority effect: when social influence produces lock-in AV - public EP - 35 ER -