eprintid: 34931 rev_number: 24 eprint_status: archive userid: 1482 importid: 105 dir: disk0/00/03/49/31 datestamp: 2021-03-22 10:08:45 lastmod: 2024-05-27 09:43:34 status_changed: 2022-01-27 09:39:55 type: book_section metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Mouzon, Olivier de creators_name: Laurent, Thibault creators_name: Le Breton, Michel creators_name: Moyouwou, Issofa creators_idrefppn: 147581699 creators_idrefppn: 241586801 creators_idrefppn: 031275621 creators_affiliation: Toulouse School of Economics creators_halaffid: 1002422 creators_halaffid: 1002422 title: “One man one vote”. Part 1: electoral justice in the U.S. electoral college: Banzhaf and Shapley/Shubik versus May ispublished: pub subjects: subjects_ECO abstract: This paper is dedicated to the measurement of (or lack of) electoral justice in the 2010Electoral College using a methodology based on the expected influence of the vote of each citizen for three probability models. Our first contribution is to revisit and reproduce the results obtained by Owen (1975) for the 1960 and 1970 Electoral College. His work displays an intriguing coincidence between the conclusions drawn respectively from the Banzhaf and Shapley-Shubik’s probability models. Both probability models conclude toa violation of electoral justice at the expense of small states. Our second contribution is to demonstrate that this conclusion is completely flipped upside-down when we use May’s probability model: this model leads instead to a violation of electoral justice at the expense of large states. Besides unifying disparate approaches through a common measurement methodology, one main lesson of the paper is that the conclusions are sensitive to the prob-ability models which are used and in particular to the type and magnitude of correlation between voters that they carry. date: 2020 date_type: published publisher: Springer Verlag id_number: 10.1007/978-3-030-48598-6 book_subtitle: essays by and in honor of William Gehrlein and Dominique Lepelley. official_url: http://tse-fr.eu/pub/124258 faculty: tse divisions: tse keywords: Electoral College keywords: Electoral Justice keywords: Voting Power language: en has_fulltext: TRUE doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-48598-6 subjectsJEL: JEL_D71 subjectsJEL: JEL_D72 view_date_year: 2020 full_text_status: public series: Studies in choice and welfare publication: Evaluating Voting Systems with Probability Models pagerange: 189-227 pages: 418 isbn: 978-3-030-48598-6 book_title: Evaluating voting systems with probability models editors_name: Diss, Mostopha editors_name: Merlin, Vincent oai_identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:124258 harvester_local_overwrite: faculty harvester_local_overwrite: pending harvester_local_overwrite: note harvester_local_overwrite: book_subtitle harvester_local_overwrite: date harvester_local_overwrite: series harvester_local_overwrite: keywords harvester_local_overwrite: isbn harvester_local_overwrite: creators_halaffid harvester_local_overwrite: pagerange harvester_local_overwrite: id_number harvester_local_overwrite: creators_idrefppn harvester_local_overwrite: place_of_pub harvester_local_overwrite: pages harvester_local_overwrite: creators_name harvester_local_overwrite: hal_id harvester_local_overwrite: hal_version harvester_local_overwrite: hal_url harvester_local_overwrite: hal_passwd harvester_local_overwrite: publish_to_hal harvester_local_overwrite: title harvester_local_overwrite: book_title oai_lastmod: 2022-01-26T10:37:22Z oai_set: tse site: ut1 publish_to_hal: TRUE hal_id: hal-03176208 hal_passwd: bfwi4e hal_version: 1 hal_url: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03176208 citation: Mouzon, Olivier de , Laurent, Thibault , Le Breton, Michel and Moyouwou, Issofa (2020) “One man one vote”. Part 1: electoral justice in the U.S. electoral college: Banzhaf and Shapley/Shubik versus May. In: Evaluating voting systems with probability models: essays by and in honor of William Gehrlein and Dominique Lepelley. Diss, Mostopha and Merlin, Vincent (eds.) Springer Verlag. Series “Studies in choice and welfare” pp. 189-227. ISBN 978-3-030-48598-6 document_url: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/34931/1/978-3-030-48598-6_9