eprintid: 22463 rev_number: 20 eprint_status: archive userid: 1482 importid: 105 dir: disk0/00/02/24/63 datestamp: 2016-10-27 09:29:03 lastmod: 2021-07-02 07:33:23 status_changed: 2021-07-02 07:33:23 type: monograph metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Chen, Daniel L. creators_name: Levonyan, Vardges creators_name: Yeh, Susan creators_idrefppn: 241586631 creators_halaffid: 1002422 title: Can policies affect preferences: evidence from random variation in abortion jurisprudence ispublished: pub subjects: subjects_ECO abstract: Whether policies shift preferences is relevant to policy design. We exploit the random assignment of U.S. federal judges creating geographically local precedent and the fact that judges’ politics, religion, and race predict decision-making in abortion jurisprudence. Instrumenting for abortion jurisprudence with exogenous judicial characteristics, we estimate the impact of abortion jurisprudence on state laws, campaign donations, and abortion attitudes. We verify information transmission in that pro-life abortion jurisprudence caused restrictive state laws and increased campaign donations to pro-choice causes. Pro-choice abortion decisions shifted preferences against legalized abortion in the short-run, but in the longer-run, abortion views followed court decisions. Pro-choice decisions affected Republicans while pro-life decisions affected Democrats. Counterfactual exercises suggest that had abortion cases in the last half-century been decided the opposite way, the increase in pro-life attitudes among Republicans would have been steeper and Democrats would have been more pro-choice. Our estimates complement a historical narrative that turning to the courts to vindicate rights often led to resistance and subsequent acceptance and we present a model consistent with these facts. date: 2016-10 date_type: published publisher: TSE Working Paper official_url: http://tse-fr.eu/pub/31130 faculty: tse divisions: tse keywords: Backlash keywords: Expressive Law keywords: Abortion keywords: Norms language: en has_fulltext: TRUE subjectsJEL: JEL_D72 subjectsJEL: JEL_P48 subjectsJEL: JEL_Z1 view_date_year: 2016 full_text_status: public monograph_type: working_paper series: TSE Working Paper volume: 16-723 place_of_pub: Toulouse. pages: 83 institution: Universite Toulouse 1 Capitole department: Toulouse School of Economics book_title: TSE Working Paper oai_identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:31130 harvester_local_overwrite: oai_set harvester_local_overwrite: department harvester_local_overwrite: faculty harvester_local_overwrite: pages harvester_local_overwrite: institution harvester_local_overwrite: publish_to_hal harvester_local_overwrite: pending harvester_local_overwrite: note harvester_local_overwrite: creators_idrefppn harvester_local_overwrite: creators_halaffid harvester_local_overwrite: place_of_pub harvester_local_overwrite: title oai_lastmod: 2021-06-22T13:16:14Z oai_set: tse oai_set: ut1c site: ut1 publish_to_hal: FALSE citation: Chen, Daniel L. , Levonyan, Vardges and Yeh, Susan (2016) Can policies affect preferences: evidence from random variation in abortion jurisprudence. TSE Working Paper, n. 16-723, Toulouse. document_url: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/22463/1/22463_CHEN.pdf