eprintid: 15775 rev_number: 8 eprint_status: archive userid: 1482 importid: 105 dir: disk0/00/01/57/75 datestamp: 2014-07-09 17:40:09 lastmod: 2021-04-02 15:48:23 status_changed: 2014-07-09 17:40:09 type: monograph metadata_visibility: no_search creators_name: Biais, Bruno creators_name: Rochet, Jean-Charles creators_name: Woolley, Paul creators_idrefppn: 031366147 creators_idrefppn: 03062620X creators_affiliation: Toulouse School of Economics (CNRS-CRM & PWRI-IDEI) creators_affiliation: University of Zurich (SFI) and Toulouse School of Economics (PWRI-IDEI) creators_affiliation: London School of Economics (PWC) title: The dynamics of innovation and risk ispublished: pub subjects: subjects_ECO abstract: We study the dynamics of an innovative industry when agents learn about the likelihood of negative shocks. Managers can exert risk-prevention effort to mitigate the consequences of shocks. If no shock occurs, confidence improves, attracting managers to the innovative sector. But, when condence becomes high, inefficient managers exerting low risk-prevention effort also enter. This stimulates growth, while reducing risk-prevention. The longer the boom, the larger the losses if a shock occurs. While these dynamics arise in the first-best, asymmetric information generates excessive entry of inefficient managers, earning informational rents, inflating the innovative sector and increasing its vulnerability. date: 2013-10 date_type: published publisher: TSE Working Paper official_url: http://tse-fr.eu/pub/27746 faculty: tse divisions: tse language: en has_fulltext: TRUE view_date_year: 2013 full_text_status: public monograph_type: working_paper series: TSE Working Paper volume: 13-448 book_title: TSE Working Paper oai_identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:27746 harvester_local_overwrite: faculty harvester_local_overwrite: site harvester_local_overwrite: creators_idrefppn oai_lastmod: 2015-07-31T18:00:02Z oai_set: tse site: ut1 citation: Biais, Bruno , Rochet, Jean-Charles and Woolley, Paul (2013) The dynamics of innovation and risk. TSE Working Paper, n. 13-448 document_url: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/15775/1/wp_tse_448.pdf