relation: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/15775/ title: The dynamics of innovation and risk creator: Biais, Bruno creator: Rochet, Jean-Charles creator: Woolley, Paul subject: B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE description: We study the dynamics of an innovative industry when agents learn about the likelihood of negative shocks. Managers can exert risk-prevention effort to mitigate the consequences of shocks. If no shock occurs, confidence improves, attracting managers to the innovative sector. But, when condence becomes high, inefficient managers exerting low risk-prevention effort also enter. This stimulates growth, while reducing risk-prevention. The longer the boom, the larger the losses if a shock occurs. While these dynamics arise in the first-best, asymmetric information generates excessive entry of inefficient managers, earning informational rents, inflating the innovative sector and increasing its vulnerability. publisher: TSE Working Paper date: 2013-10 type: Monograph type: NonPeerReviewed format: text language: en identifier: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/15775/1/wp_tse_448.pdf identifier: Biais, Bruno , Rochet, Jean-Charles and Woolley, Paul (2013) The dynamics of innovation and risk. TSE Working Paper, n. 13-448 relation: http://tse-fr.eu/pub/27746 language: en