Fève, Patrick, Matheron, Julien and Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume (2012) A Pitfall with DSGE-Based, Estimated, Government Spending Multipliers. TSE Working Paper, n. 12-289

Warning
There is a more recent version of this item available.
[thumbnail of wp_tse_289.pdf]
Preview
Text
Download (692kB) | Preview

Abstract

This paper examines issues related to the estimation of the government spending multiplier (GSM) in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium context. We stress a potential source of bias in the GSM arising from the combination of Edgeworth complementarity/substitutability between private
consumption and government expenditures and endogenous government expenditures. Due to crossequation restrictions, omitting the endogenous component of government policy at the estimation stage would lead an econometrician to underestimate the degree of Edgeworth complementarity and,
consequently, the long-run GSM. An estimated version of our model with US postwar data shows that this bias matters quantitatively. The results prove to be robust to a number of perturbations.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Language: English
Date: April 2012
Uncontrolled Keywords: Government spending rules, DSGE models, Edgeworth complementarity/substitutability, Multiplier
JEL Classification: C32 - Time-Series Models
E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
E62 - Fiscal Policy; Public Expenditures, Investment, and Finance; Taxation
Subjects: B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse)
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 09 Jul 2014 17:24
Last Modified: 02 Apr 2021 15:47
OAI Identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:25755
URI: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/15252

Available Versions of this Item

View Item

Downloads

Downloads per month over past year