Biais, Bruno, Bisière, Christophe, Bouvard, Matthieu and Casamatta, Catherine (2017) The blockchain folk theorem. TSE Working Paper, n. 17-817, Toulouse

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Abstract

Blockchains are distributed ledgers, operated within peer-to-peer networks. If reliable and stable, they could offer a new, cost effective way to record transactions, but are they? We model the proof-of-work blockchain protocol as a stochastic game and analyse the equilibrium strategies of rational, strategic miners. Mining the longest chain is a Markov perfect equilibrium, without forking, in line with Nakamoto (2008). The blockchain protocol, however, is a coordination game, with multiple equilibria. There exist equilibria with forks, leading to orphaned blocks and persistent divergence between chains. We also show how forks can be generated by information delays and software upgrades. Last we identify negative externalities implying that equilibrium investment in computing capacity is excessive.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Language: English
Date: May 2017
Place of Publication: Toulouse
Uncontrolled Keywords: blockchain, forks, proof-of-work, distributed ledger, multiplicity of equilibria, coordination game
JEL Classification: C73 - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games; Repeated Games
G2 - Financial Institutions and Services
L86 - Information and Internet Services; Computer Software
Subjects: B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse), TSM Research (Toulouse)
Institution: Université Toulouse 1 Capitole
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 13 Jun 2017 13:17
Last Modified: 02 Apr 2021 15:55
OAI Identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:31770
URI: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/24143

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