Le Breton, Michel, Lepelley, Dominique and Smaoui, Hatem (2016) Correlation, Partitioning and the Probability of Casting a Decisive Vote under the Majority Rule. TSE Working Paper, n. 16-622

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Abstract

The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the probability of casting a decisive vote under the majority rule for a class of random electorate models encompassing the celebrated Impartial Culture (IC) and Impartial Anonymous Culture (IAC) models. The emphasis is on the impact of correlation across votes on the order of magnitude of this event. Our proof techniques use arguments from probability theory on one hand and combinatorial and algorithmic tools for counting integer points inside convex polytopes on the other hand.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Language: French
Date: February 2016
Uncontrolled Keywords: Elections, Power Measurement, Voting, Random Electorate
JEL Classification: D71 - Social Choice; Clubs; Committees; Associations
D72 - Economic Models of Political Processes - Rent-Seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Subjects: B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse)
Institution: Université Toulouse 1 Capitole
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 05 Feb 2016 11:53
Last Modified: 02 Apr 2021 15:51
OAI Identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:30138
URI: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/19558

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