Florens, Jean-Pierre and Simoni, Anna (2013) Regularizing Priors for Linear Inverse Problems. IDEI Working Paper, n. 767, Toulouse

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Abstract

This paper proposes a new Bayesian approach for estimating, nonparametrically, parameters in econometric models that are characterized as the solution of a linear inverse problem. By using a Gaussian process prior distribution we propose the posterior mean as an estimator and prove consistency, in the frequentist sense, of the posterior distribution. Consistency of the posterior distribution provides a frequentist validation of our Bayesian procedure. We show that the minimax rate of contraction of the posterior distribution can be obtained provided that
either the regularity of the prior matches the regularity of the true parameter or the prior is scaled at an appropriate rate. The scaling parameter of the prior distribution plays the role of a regularization parameter. We propose a new, and easy-to-implement, data-driven method
for optimally selecting in practice this regularization parameter. Moreover, we make clear that the posterior mean, in a conjugate-Gaussian setting, is equal to a Tikhonov-type estimator in a frequentist setting so that our data-driven method can be used in frequentist estimation
as well. Finally, we apply our general methodology to two leading examples in econometrics: instrumental regression and functional regression estimation.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Language: English
Date: March 2013
Place of Publication: Toulouse
Uncontrolled Keywords: nonparametric estimation, Bayesian inverse problems, Gaussian processes, posterior consistency, data-driven method
JEL Classification: C11 - Bayesian Analysis
C13 - Estimation
C14 - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods
Subjects: B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE
Divisions: TSE-R (Toulouse)
Institution: Université Toulouse 1 Capitole
Site: UT1
Date Deposited: 09 Jul 2014 17:34
Last Modified: 02 Apr 2021 15:48
OAI Identifier: oai:tse-fr.eu:26987
URI: https://publications.ut-capitole.fr/id/eprint/15545

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